
\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{\label{tab:cw_base_logit} Civil War Onset in Ethnic Group Segments, 1816-2017}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
      Dependent Variable: & \multicolumn{5}{c}{Ethnic civil war onset (Y/N)}\\
      Model:                                   & (1)           & (2)           & (3)           & (4)           & (5)\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Variables}\\
      Lost home rule or lost unity             & 1.085$^{***}$ & 1.097$^{***}$ & 1.206$^{***}$ &               &   \\   
                                               & (0.2834)      & (0.1991)      & (0.2987)      &               &   \\   
      Lost home rule only                      &               &               &               & 1.235$^{***}$ &   \\   
                                               &               &               &               & (0.3014)      &   \\   
      Lost unity only                          &               &               &               & 1.039         &   \\   
                                               &               &               &               & (0.9729)      &   \\   
      Lost home rule \& lost unity             &               &               &               & 1.171         &   \\   
                                               &               &               &               & (0.9331)      &   \\   
      Lost home rule or lost unity (post-1816) &               &               &               &               & 2.098$^{***}$\\   
                                               &               &               &               &               & (0.4585)\\   
      Lost home rule or lost unity (pre-1816)  &               &               &               &               & 0.8912$^{**}$\\   
                                               &               &               &               &               & (0.2717)\\   
      \midrule
      \emph{Fixed-effects}\\
      State                                    &               & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Baseline controls                        & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Extended controls                        &               &               & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Fit statistics}\\
      Observations                             & 40,142        & 23,449        & 23,449        & 23,449        & 23,329\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{6}{l}{\emph{Clustered (State \& Aggregate group) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{6}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}}\\
   \end{tabular}
   
   \par \raggedright 
   \parbox[t]{\width=\textwidth}{\textbf{Notes:} Logiut estimates of Civil War Onsets. The unit of analysis is the ethnic segment year. 
          Baseline controls: segment area relative to state-leading group, transborder ethnic kin dummy, national unity dummy. 
          Extended controls: logged country, aggregate group, and segment size in sqkm; ethnic fractionalization of country and aggregate group;
          logged distance to capital; war history (past years with ongoing civil war);
          time since last border change. Standard errors clustered on country and aggregate ethnic group in parentheses.
          Significance codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}
\end{table}


